H C Singh

President Obama’s Speech on the State of Nation – And His Future

 Two years, 2011 and 2012 are crucial for President Obama who is first black President of USA. During last two years his popularity in US has been vacillating between 60 percent highest to 40 percent lowest. The President was faced with many problems besides problem of Afghanistan War with Taliban which was 10 years old and US intervention in Iraq. Both these problems were created by his predecessor George Bush and were left burning and harming American interest. The other problem of great magnitude was running deficit and federal debt, though these were caused by worldwide recession for which, too, America was held responsible as there was virtually no recession effect on China’s economy and also little impact on the economy of other Asian countries like India, Middle East and South East Asia. Though Barack Obama the newly elected US President was expected to solve these problems to put economy of USA once more rising and deficit going down, as well as unemployment. As unemployment in USA had risen to 9.4 or 10 percent and, if added the huge number of part time workers, it would touch 20 percent, not keeping pace with increase in population during the same period. Thus it is reported that his recent speech has failed to pacify the nation which had hoped that during the next two years Obama will be able to solve the basic economic problems like rising deficit and equally important rising unemployment.

President Obama’s speech on the state of Nation in early Feb 2010 about US under his presidentship during last two years and January 2011 has not shown any improvement in the American economy and international prestige but there has been determination, rather marked, in federal deficit, employment and general economy. About the remaining two years of Obama’s present tenure as President it is to be seen whether there is likelihood of marked improvement in employment as well as national economy. With regard to Afghanistan he first said that American troops will be withdrawn by the end of 2010 but not much has been achieved, accordingly date of withdrawal of US and NATO forces from Afghanistan has been extended to July 2011. It is to be seen whether completion of US withdrawal is achieved by that deadline and Taliban problem solved so that American sponsored President Karzai is able to function as President peacefully without suicide bombing and other hostile attacks by Taliban. If there is no peace by that time and no stable democratic government of Karzai as President, it will mean absolute failure of US policy in Afghanistan and unnecessary loss of trillion of US dollars every year and loss of hundreds of US and NATO soldiers every year, besides loss of million of lives of Afghans, as well as in parts of Pakistan. NWFP and Baluchistan and loss of stability in Pakistan.

Problem of Iraq is only 4-5 years old but in Iraq, too, there is suicide bombing more frequently than in Afghanistan and the US sponsored democratic government seems to be a farce. No stability in Iraq is within sight. America will be leaving Iraq unsettled and in greater turmoil than when America under George Bush intervened for no reason. Obama has to withdraw from Iraq in the interest of USA and in his own interest so that there is no further loss of US and NATO lives and loss of hundreds of trillion dollars effecting American Economy and prestige in the world.

Will Obama before the next elections of President of USA in 2012 be able to achieve something tangible and something that has impact on US Economy, reduction of Federal deficit and nation wide improvement in employment, reduction, in inflation, increase in American production of industries and Trade?

President Obama inspite of his best efforts could not solve the basic problem due to world wide recession much more effective in USA than in other countries even of Europe as pointed out above. Obama alone cannot be held responsible or blamed for almost failure to uplift and drastically improve American economy. No new leader can bring drastic change as it is considered unrealistic as in USA to expect snow fall in August. However Obama made efforts. In December 2010 he dropped the plan of imposing new taxes and raising taxes on the rich citizens and, to stimulate the sluggish economy, entered into fresh borrowing. Obama’s new economic policy was criticized by many members of House of representative in which republicans now had gained majority. President Clinton, too, in 1995 faced similar position but finally triumphed. Though for the time being Obama’s popularity had got boost from 45% in November to 50% in December.

Next two years are crucial and deciding factors for Obama’s popularity. Possibility of his winning for second term as President depends (mainly on improvement in economy, particularly factors like unemployment which has been the highest ever 10 percent and if self employed are added to 20 percent as explained above and the second factor of fall of GDP from 4% to 2%, below the annual increase in population.) Besides the problem of health services and federal debt increase.

US economy as well as Obama’s popularity may get some boost if USA finally and fully withdraws its troops from Afghanistan and Iraq by the end of 2011. But if withdrawal from Afghanistan leads to down-fall of Karzai government and control of Afghanistan, as never before, by Talibans, America and Obama will lose their stature in the eyes of the world, particularly before the NATO countries who sent their soldiers to fight against Talibans and suffered economically and politically in their own countries. Similarly in Iraq US and NATO withdrawal will mean continuous unrest and suicide bombing. Pakistan is already in turmoil because of American intervention and Drove bombing and is facing dismemberment and may become breeding ground of terrorists, which may endanger America and even neighbouring India’s security. On 4th of Feb 2011 America even hinted of breaking diplomatic relation with Pakistan. What more can be worse for Obama and USA?

February 18, 2011 - Posted by | Uncategorized | , , ,

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